The situation in Iran is simply stated. The Iranians have oil. They also have a nuclear development programme. Whether this is for peaceful purposes or otherwise is beside the point. The Iranians also exercise a tight control of the Strait of Hormuz, the strategically important waterway between the Gulf of Persia and the Gulf of Oman. Through this straight moves about 40 per cent of the world’s oil. The Israelis with U.S. support are opposed to Iran’s nuclear programme. The Europeans don’t like Iran’s nuclear meddling either, but they do like Iranian oil. The Iranians have cut off oil supplies to France and the UK, and threatened to sever oil supplies to the rest of Europe. If Israel does what it threatens to do, which is to bomb the bejesus out of Iran’s nuclear sites, they risk not just the threat of retaliation but the reality of severe counter-measures. Unlike Gaza or the West Bank or other centres that can be pushed and bullied around with impunity, Iran is more than capable of defending itself. The Israelis need reminding that the Iranians are not Canaanites to be slaughtered without mercy on God’s command. Quite apart from risking air strikes from a well-armed foe if it does what it threatens, Israel risks dragging the U.S.A. into another major conflict with or without UN support. The Iranians only have to announce they have mined the Strait of Hormuz, or intend to do so, and they effectively strangle western commerce. Again, let it be said, it is wise counsel to welcome Iran into the nuclear club. They will develop a nuclear programme whether it is welcomed or not. Anyone who causes another conflagration in the Middle East to satisfy their hubris must be barking mad indeed.
Archive for February, 2012
Reflections on the barking mad
Monday, February 20th, 2012Common cause with Artistic Director Nicolas Kent
Sunday, February 12th, 2012In the vast pantheon of the performing arts in the west, particularly London, the name of Nicolas Kent, Artistic Director of the Tricycle Theatre, stands out – for me, it is his exploration of the nuclear bomb. To this end he has staged a number of controversial plays on the theme of nuclear weaponry. The most intriguing, which I haven’t read or seen so I’m going on second hand knowledge, is membership in a club. This began as a club of one, because the U.S.A. alone owned a required glowing egg. Then others were able to present eggs that glowed and so were able to join the club. It came to be regarded as a ‘Gentleman’s Club’ into which some members gate-crashed their way while others, remarkably, opted out. For the record, I should like to record that in 1965, I too wrote a play on this theme, 1965 being the twentieth anniversary of dropping of atomic bombs on Nagasaki and Hiroshima. The play ‘Benjaman’ (yes, the correct spelling) centred on a coven of witches and their strenuous efforts to bar a new witch, Benjaman, possessed of awesome powers, from joining their coven. Having been a consultant to the Canadian nuclear industry and a ten-year long member of the National Technical Committee on Nuclear Quality Assurance, here is the explanation of my strong interest in the subject of the nuclear technology. The point is that the nuclear club is still a club whose members wish to bar entry to those they consider undesirables. Is this not another case of their being two kinds of people in the world? The good and the bad and it’s the good who decide who the bad shall be?
Hypocritical double standards
Saturday, February 11th, 2012Prime Minister Stephen Harper of Canada signed numerous agreements during his visit to China in the company of a large political entourage and a train of corporate heads and industrialists. Hailed by some as a coup de chance, a magnificent stroke of luck as well as political expertise, the contracts negotiated included the export of uranium concentrate enough to warm the cockles of all Saskatchewan hearts. That this meant overruling the misgivings of Canadian non-proliferation experts is of small consequence in the overall scheme of things. In effect, this gives the Chinese free rein to do as they wish with this bonanza of uranium concentrate. Would the Canadian Government not extend the same courtesy to the Iranians, who are equally desirous of acquiring ample supplies of uranium concentrate – for peaceful purposes, naturally. What force majeure operates to prevent the sale of uranium to the Iranians? It cannot be a moral one. More likely it’s the right of might, which means the hypocritical cards are stacked against those dastardly, devious and deceitful Iranians, which in fact is a rather sad and duplicitous state of affairs. The United States rattles its sabre, the Israelis weigh the chances of a few swift bombing runs and risking one hell of a retaliation. This is a real conundrum over which, one hopes, Canadian politicians and diplomats will manage to keep straight faces when next they confront their American and Israeli counterparts across the banquet table. After all, one must keep one’s ducks in a row and maybe, just maybe, China will let Iran have a few tons of the concentrate they receive from Saskatchewan. Watch this space for further developments.
